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“The Escalation/Exit Paradox: Managing the US-Israel-Iran War at the Tipping Point"

“The Escalation/Exit Paradox: Managing the US-Israel-Iran War at the Tipping Point"

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Date(s) - 04/08/2026
10:00 am - 11:30 am

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National Council on U.S.-Arab Relations


Name and Arabic calligraphy logo of the National Council on US-Arab Relations

The National Council on U.S.-Arab Relations

invites you to join our upcoming webinar:

“The Escalation/Exit Paradox: Managing the US-Israel-Iran War at the Tipping Point”

Background and Context

This webinar will explore the current escalation-de-escalation paradox in the U.S.-Israel-Iran war, in which combatants are trapped in a cycle of escalating attacks and increasing threats despite the preference of two of the three countries to avoid a lengthy, full-scale conflict. Focusing on the GCC and Lebanon, the Council’s diplomatic, geopolitical, and geo-economic experts will analyze how escalating energy and civilian infrastructure attacks and Lebanon’s role as a second front create a volatile potential tipping point. The GCC security dilemma is how both manage increased threats to infrastructure and maintain de-escalation efforts. Lebanon’s dual crisis is how to manage its role as the primary arena for escalating Israel Hezbollah warfare, while preferring to end it. Panelists will discuss the urgent need for diplomatic off-ramps and the implications of U.S. efforts to limit the duration and targeting extensions of the war while managing the risk of being pulled deeper into a widening regional conflict.

Click Here To Watch LIVE On YouTube

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

10:00 – 11:30 A.M. EDT

Registration is NOT REQUIRED to view the program.

Submit questions to the specialists: questions@ncusar.org

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Moderator:

Dr. Abderrahim Foukara

Former Washington D.C. Bureau Chief and

Host of Min Washington

Al Jazeera

Biography

Speakers:

Ambassador Joey Hood

Former Acting Assistant Secretary

Department of State’s Near Eastern Affairs Bureau;

Former Consul General and Principal Officer

U.S. Consulate, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia;

Former U.S. Ambassador to Tunisia

Biography

Ambassador Massoud Maalouf

Former Ambassador of Lebanon

to Canada, Poland, and Chile

Biography

Dr. Kristian Coates Ulrichsen

Fellow for the Middle East

Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy

Co-Director

Middle East Energy Roundtable

Biography

Dr. John Sfakianakis

Chief Economist and Head of Economic Research

Gulf Research Center, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Associate Fellow, Middle East and North Africa Programme

Chatham House

Biography

About the National Council on U.S.-Arab Relations

Founded in 1983, the National Council on U.S.-Arab Relations is an American non-profit, non-governmental, educational organization dedicated to improving American awareness, knowledge, and understanding of the Arab countries, the Mideast, and the Islamic world.

Website: https://ncusar.org

X / Twitter: @ncusar

YouTube: @ncusar

Instagram: @ncusar

Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/ncusar

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