Syria, Alas: Is There Reason for Optimism?
By: Barbara Nimri Aziz / Arab America Contributing Writer
The Arab League’s Ousted Members
We have a stingy agreement from most Arab League countries that Syria, one of its founding members, one of the area’s strongest Arab nationalist members, one whose policy has been the most uncompromising toward Israel, is readmitted to that capricious club. However, this assembly is hardly a potent force— having lost much of its influence after the destruction and defanging of another once-core member, Iraq. Assuring Palestinian national integrity had been one of its main aims. And where is that policy today? Presently, Palestine continues to shrink. While, one by one, Arab league members have openly established relations with the Jewish state or are quietly engaging with it at various levels.
But back to Syria: to symbolically demonstrate the Arab League agreement, and highlight its key player, Syria’s president, Bashar Al-Assad is headed to Riyadh to meet its leaders. Separated from signifying the new status, what will it amount to? There must be some negotiations. What will be the items on the table? Currently, it’s still unclear. I doubt if pressure on Syria to ease its stance on Israel will be in the cards. After all, it is Israel which has annexed Syrian land, it is Israel which regularly bombs Syria and kills its citizens with impunity. Furthermore, it is Israel that ties the hands of an American move toward Damascus.
Arab Nations Role in the Arab League
What could Saudi Arabia, representing the League, demand; and in exchange for what? First Syria has been so battered, its economy shredded, its talent bled out– tens of thousands of Syrian professionals now reside in the Arab diaspora adding their talent to the development of those neighbors – its currency devalued; one can’t imagine their’s anything left for the country to offer.
Then there’s the occupation of Syria, the massive and richest northeast region where Syria’s oil is being stolen under American protection – with a reported 900 U.S. troops on the ground there – along with the nation’s extensive wheat-producing fields there, unavailable to Syrians. The occupation of that region cripples the country and is tactfully excluded from any news reports. We hear only that American forces occupy that area of Syria to protect the Kurdish minority – (As the CIA did for a decade in north Iraq -again with major oil reserves- setting the stage for the region’s autonomy which in turn continues to cripple Iraq. The U.S. says it’s in Syria to thwart al-Qaida’s resurgence. (How noble; these arguments sound like something adopted from Britain’s colonial handbook.)
Involvement of Nations Outside the Arab League
Washington asserts that regardless of the Arab League détente, its sanctions on Damascus will not be lifted. (But those have been in place, to one degree or another, for decades now.) And what about the eastern parts of Syria occupied by the U.S.-supported Islamic rebels – under the heroic banner of ‘Syrian Defense Forces’ – and where the counterfeit White Helmets operate? They would be a really sticky point for the Arab League since those well-equipped rebels are essentially a U.S. proxy force.
The Gulf Arab states are often called on to help rebuild the destroyed economies of member states. It didn’t work well in Lebanon. Will it be of any use to their new ally, Iran? Or devastated Yemen, now that a cease-fire has been agreed on there?
Then there’s the Turkish factor. The northwest corner of Syria is essentially under Ankara’s control as well. Erdogan, should he win reelection in the coming days, is a wild card. (Russia’s silent hand needs more space to review, but Moscow will certainly be ‘present’, if not sitting at the table with these players. Not to forget Iran.)
Some brilliance and resolve will be needed at the upcoming Riyadh meeting. President Bashar, no longer young, has had little opportunity to mature politically over the past 12 brutal years. Can he possibly manage to restore Syrian sovereignty from among such a cast of intervening agents?
Barbara Nimri Aziz is an American anthropologist, journalist, and writer. She is known for her research and scholarship in the areas of Tibetan and Himalayan Studies. Aziz played a leading role in the Arab-American literary sphere and was involved in establishing the literary collective RAWI. More about Aziz at this link: www.barbaranimri.com
The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Arab America. Rebuttals are always welcome, send to: firstname.lastname@example.org
Check out Arab America’s blog here!